MM

P's Bull-Bear Tasks

Saturday, August 15, 2009

S&P update


Well looking over the weekly chart of the S&P500 I see a few things of interest. First notice the longer term fibo. Currently we also have an inverted head and shoulders. This also goes with the 38.2 fib retrace. So I see a bullish tone down to the support (Red line @ 950). I think the bears task is to drop the p's under 950. Bull task to for support off 950 to hold and bounce off support. So a war is on and now we shall see how pans out. I will say I do think it is possible that we are in a longer term retrace in the P's. My reasoning for that mixes both technical and fundamental info.
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Oil

Currently oil has been running in a range for some time now. I see a bow tie trying to forum off the daily. I would not get too excited about it until it breaks the range highs and has a nice orderly pull back. Anyway oil might be worth keeping an eye on…

XAU

XAU

Market Pulse 03/06/09

XAU daily suggests a stiff pullback, now what I don’t like about the current bullish action is the drifting in price action. Short term bias is short under March 6 low.


030209

I see a sell signal in the S&P500 as price has violated old lows. Here is a 2 day chart with stocks above or below their 40 pma (Green line). Price is the yellow line and the RS of the 40pma (Red). What I’m looking is the hard right edge. Notice the cross down, this suggests more downward pressure.